Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U17 vs Italy U17

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Mendoza B.
62' Event
Mencia I.
84' Event
Imga C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Spain U17 and Italy U17 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Spain U17
20%
Draws
44%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U17 come out ahead of Spain U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Spain U17's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Spain U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 20 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.52 2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Friendly International
Spain U17 vs Italy U17
3:0
Jan 20, 2026 Friendly International
Spain U17 vs Italy U17
2:0
Jan 23, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
1:2
Jan 21, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mencia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Italy U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U17 57 / 100
Italy U17 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U17 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Italy U17 let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Spain U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spain U17 VS Italy U17
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U17

(Home)
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
31 May
Spain U17
2 : 3
Croatia U17
28 May
Belgium U17
0 : 1
Spain U17
25 May
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
23 Apr
Spain U17
3 : 1
Ukraine U17
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Italy U17

(Away)
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
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