Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U17 W vs Iceland U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2025 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Indias C.
46'
Sub
Brynjarsdottir R. In: Kristjansdottir E.
Out: Brynjarsdottir R.
46'
Sub
Sigurdardottir S. In: Snorradottir H.
Out: Sigurdardottir S.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 Women 2025 game between Spain U17 W and Iceland U17 W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Spain U17 W
15%
Draws
48%
Iceland U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iceland U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Iceland U17 W haven't matched Spain U17 W's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain U17 W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 17%
Iceland U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U17 W Iceland U17 W
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 26 12
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.81 2.28
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Iceland U17 W
1:0
Sep 27, 2021 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Iceland U17 W
4:0
Oct 8, 2017 Euro U17 Women
Iceland U17 W vs Spain U17 W
1:2
Mar 30, 2017 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Iceland U17 W
3:0
Jun 28, 2015 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Iceland U17 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrios C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Iceland U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U17 W 30 / 100
Iceland U17 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U17 W Iceland U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U17 W scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Iceland U17 W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Spain U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain U17 W VS Iceland U17 W
3.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U17 W

(Home)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
Page 1 of 8

Iceland U17 W

(Away)
20 Mar
Iceland U17 W
5 : 0
Serbia U17 W
17 Mar
Austria U17 W
1 : 0
Iceland U17 W
14 Mar
France U17 W
2 : 1
Iceland U17 W
11 Nov
Iceland U17 W
3 : 0
Slovenia U17 W
08 Nov
Faroe Islands U17 W
2 : 6
Iceland U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Belgium U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Ukraine U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Iceland U17 W 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Scotland U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Slovakia U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Wales U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 W 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
2 Czech Republic U17 W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
3 Croatia U17 W 3 1 1 1 8:1 4
4 Georgia U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U17 W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Switzerland U17 W 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Hungary U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Turkey U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U17 W 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Finland U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
3 England U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Sweden U17 W 3 0 1 2 7:10 1
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U17 W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Portugal U17 W 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Serbia U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Greece U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U17 W 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Denmark U17 W 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Germany U17 W 3 1 1 1 10:1 4
4 Kosovo U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)