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Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Spain U17 W and Mexico U17 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Spain U17 W
30%
Draws
43%
Mexico U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Spain U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mexico U17 W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 17%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U17 W Mexico U17 W
Matches Played 42 39
Wins 31 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.52 2.36
Goals Conceded 0.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
2:1
Oct 15, 2022 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
1:2
Dec 1, 2018 World Cup Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Spain U17 W
1:2
Oct 7, 2016 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U17 W 28 / 100
Mexico U17 W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U17 W Mexico U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U17 W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Spain U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mexico U17 W conceded in 59% of 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spain U17 W VS Mexico U17 W
3.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U17 W

(Home)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
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Mexico U17 W

(Away)
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
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