Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U19 vs Germany U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Lopez H.
48' Event
Rivas M.
Assist: Yanez D.
59'
Sub
Reimers M. In: Fields J.
Out: Reimers M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Spain U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Spain U19
15%
Draws
32%
Germany U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spain U19 come out ahead of Germany U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Spain U19 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Spain U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U19, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Spain U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Spain U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Germany U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U19 Germany U19
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 27 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2.76 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
4:0
Jun 23, 2025 Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
6:5
Oct 9, 2024 Friendly International
Germany U19 vs Spain U19
2:1
Oct 25, 2022 Friendly International
Germany U19 vs Spain U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Germany U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U19 85 / 100
Germany U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U19 Germany U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spain U19 scored in 94% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Spain U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Germany U19 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spain U19 VS Germany U19
3.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U19

(Home)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Denmark U19
0 : 3
Spain U19
28 Jun
Wales U19
0 : 7
Spain U19
Page 1 of 7

Germany U19

(Away)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Wales U19
0 : 4
Germany U19
28 Jun
Germany U19
4 : 3
Denmark U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Spain U19 3
Croatia U19 0
Ukraine U19 1
Germany U19 2
Final
Spain U19 2
Germany U19 0