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Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women U20 2022 Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José
Spain U20 W Logo

Spain U20 W

3 - 1
FT
Japan U20 W Logo

Japan U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gabarro I.
Assist: Elexpuru A.
22' Event
Paralluelo S.
Assist: Medina A.
27'
Ishikawa R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spain U20 W in this World Cup Women U20 2022 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Spain U20 W
20%
Draws
28%
Japan U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U20 W have won more games recently than Japan U20 W.
  • Spain U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Spain U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U20 W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Spain U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U20 W Japan U20 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 24 22
Draws 4 3
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2.37 3.1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 World Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs Spain U20 W
1:0
Aug 29, 2022 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W
3:1
Aug 24, 2018 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:3
Aug 9, 2018 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:0
Nov 16, 2016 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabarro I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paralluelo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amano S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U20 W 95 / 100
Japan U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U20 W Japan U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U20 W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Spain U20 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Japan U20 W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spain U20 W VS Japan U20 W
3.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U20 W

(Home)
27 Sept
Spain U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
Brazil U20 W
0 : 1
Spain U20 W
16 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
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Japan U20 W

(Away)
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
09 Jun
England U20 W
0 : 1
Japan U20 W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spain U20 W 1
Mexico U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 0
Netherlands U20 W 2
Colombia U20 W 0
Brazil U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 4
France U20 W 3
Semi-finals
Spain U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 2
Final
Spain U20 W 3
Japan U20 W 1
Netherlands U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 4