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Spain U20 W vs USA U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U20 2024 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
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Match Events

8' Event
Enrique O.
Assist: Corrales L.
59'
Dudley J.
63'
Sub
Amezaga J. In: Martret L.
Out: Amezaga J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Spain U20 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Spain U20 W
15%
Draws
18%
USA U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Spain U20 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Spain U20 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Spain U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Spain U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
USA U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U20 W USA U20 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2.37 2.47
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2024 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs USA U20 W
1:0
Aug 13, 2018 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs USA U20 W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Enrique O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

USA U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U20 W 95 / 100
USA U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U20 W USA U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U20 W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Spain U20 W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

USA U20 W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spain U20 W VS USA U20 W
4.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U20 W

(Home)
27 Sept
Spain U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
Brazil U20 W
0 : 1
Spain U20 W
16 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
Page 1 of 6

USA U20 W

(Away)
16 Sept
Brazil U20 W
2 : 1
USA U20 W
12 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
0 : 9
USA U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
USA U20 W
1 : 2
Italy U20 W
13 Jul
USA U20 W
0 : 1
Colombia U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 W 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Mexico U20 W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Cameroon U20 W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Australia U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 France U20 W 3 1 1 1 14:6 4
3 Canada U20 W 3 1 1 1 12:5 4
4 Fiji U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:29 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 USA U20 W 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Paraguay U20 W 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Morocco U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U20 W 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Nigeria U20 W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 South Korea U20 W 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Venezuela U20 W 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 W 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Austria U20 W 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Ghana U20 W 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 17:2 9
2 Netherlands U20 W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Argentina U20 W 3 1 1 1 6:9 4
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)