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Spain U23 W vs France U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spain U23 W play France U23 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spain U23 W averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. France U23 W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Spain U23 W won 1, France U23 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 2, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Spain U23 W and 1.93 for France U23 W. This points to a Spain U23 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Spain U23 W
16%
Draws
38%
France U23 W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Spain U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U23 W picked up more points recently compared to France U23 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Spain U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
France U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U23 W France U23 W
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2024 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs France U23 W
3:2
Sep 24, 2023 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs France U23 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloris S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinedo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.1

France U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roth M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coquet J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U23 W 43 / 100
France U23 W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U23 W France U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spain U23 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spain U23 W attacking → ← attacking France U23 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U23 W scored in 76% of their last 25 games.

France U23 W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Spain U23 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

France U23 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 41
2.20 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00