Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain vs Egypt

World World

Friendly International RCDE Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spain play Egypt in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spain averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Egypt averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Spain won 1, Egypt won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 31, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Spain and 0.81 for Egypt. This points to a Spain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Spain
23%
Draws
31%
Egypt
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Spain picked up more points recently compared to Egypt.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Spain Clean Sheet 26%
Egypt Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain Egypt
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Spain vs Egypt
0:0
Jun 3, 2006 Friendly International
Spain vs Egypt
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 47 / 100
Egypt 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Egypt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spain or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spain attacking → ← attacking Egypt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Egypt let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Egypt lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 55
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63