Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Spain

2 - 0

Georgia

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Porro P.

24'

Pino Y.

Assist: Le Normand R.

29'

Torres F.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Spain and Georgia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Spain

Draws

Georgia

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Spain come out ahead of Georgia on wins alone.
Spain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Spain here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Spain Clean Sheet 68%

Georgia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spain	Georgia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	23	13
Draws	6	6
Losses	1	11
Goals Scored	1.63	1.33
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship

Georgia vs Spain

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 4 - 0

0:4

Oct 11, 2025 World Championship

Spain vs Georgia

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Jun 30, 2024 Euro

Spain vs Georgia

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

4:1

Nov 19, 2023 Euro

Spain vs Georgia

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Sep 8, 2023 Euro

Georgia vs Spain

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Pino Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oyarzabal M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Georgia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21

Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 95 / 100

Georgia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spain Georgia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Georgia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spain VS Georgia

1.63 Goals Scored 1.33

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0