Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Georgia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spain play Georgia in the World Championship 2026. Spain are favorites here. Recently, Spain averaged 2.59 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Georgia averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Spain won 5, Georgia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Spain and 0.75 for Georgia. This points to a Spain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Spain

15%

Draws

28%

Georgia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Spain picked up more points recently compared to Georgia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Spain Clean Sheet 27%

Georgia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spain	Georgia
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	22	13
Draws	6	6
Losses	1	11
Goals Scored	2.59	1.67
Goals Conceded	0.86	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship

Georgia vs Spain

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:4

Oct 11, 2025 World Championship

Spain vs Georgia

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Jun 30, 2024 Euro

Spain vs Georgia

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

4:1

Nov 19, 2023 Euro

Spain vs Georgia

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Sep 8, 2023 Euro

Georgia vs Spain

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Pino Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oyarzabal M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Georgia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 57 / 100

Georgia 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spain Georgia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (1)

Secondary Pick Spain & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spain attacking → ← attacking Georgia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Georgia let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Georgia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 45

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0