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Spain vs Iraq

World World

Friendly International Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
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Match Events

16' Event
Torres F.
Assist: Olmo D.
27' Event
Doski M.
Assist: Hashem A.
32'
Bernal M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Spain
15%
Draws
5%
Iraq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Spain have won more games recently than Iraq.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Spain taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Spain Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain Iraq
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 24 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 2.48 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International
Spain vs Iraq
1:1
Jun 17, 2009 FIFA Confederations Cup
Spain vs Iraq
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Iraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Doski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 95 / 100
Iraq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Iraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spain scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Spain remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Iraq let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spain VS Iraq
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain

(Home)
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
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Iraq

(Away)
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
16 Jun
Iraq
1 : 4
Norway
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
04 Jun
Spain
1 : 1
Iraq
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