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World

World Championship 2026 Estadio de La Cartuja

Turkey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spain play Turkey in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spain averaged 2.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Turkey averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Spain won 4, Turkey won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Spain and 1.00 for Turkey. This points to a Spain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Spain

18%

Draws

32%

Turkey

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Spain picked up more points recently compared to Turkey.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Spain Clean Sheet 23%

Turkey Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spain	Turkey
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	21	18
Draws	6	4
Losses	1	9
Goals Scored	2.57	1.74
Goals Conceded	0.86	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship

Spain vs Turkey

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Turkey vs Spain

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

0:6

Jun 17, 2016 Euro

Spain vs Turkey

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Apr 1, 2009 World Championship

Turkey vs Spain

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Mar 28, 2009 World Championship

Spain vs Turkey

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Olmo D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oyarzabal M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Turkey Compare

Top Goalscorer Gul D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ozcan S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 50 / 100

Turkey 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spain Turkey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spain or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spain attacking → ← attacking Turkey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Turkey let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Turkey lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 58

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0