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Spain W vs Switzerland W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro Women Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Caldentey M.
Penalty Missed
25'
Aleixandri L.
62'
Sub
Ivelj N. In: Pilgrim A.
Out: Ivelj N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Spain W
15%
Draws
44%
Switzerland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Switzerland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain W lately — more wins on the board than Switzerland W.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Spain W taking it.
  • Spain W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Spain W Clean Sheet 68%
Switzerland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain W Switzerland W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.9 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2025 Euro Women
Spain W vs Switzerland W
2:0
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Switzerland W vs Spain W
1:7
Sep 26, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Spain W vs Switzerland W
5:0
Aug 5, 2023 World Cup Women
Switzerland W vs Spain W
1:5
Mar 6, 2019 Algarve Cup Women
Switzerland W vs Spain W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain W Compare

Top Goalscorer del Castillo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pina C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Switzerland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain W 95 / 100
Switzerland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain W Switzerland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Switzerland W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Spain W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain W VS Switzerland W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain W

(Home)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 6

Switzerland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Northern Ireland W
1 : 2
Switzerland W
05 Jun
Switzerland W
6 : 1
Malta W
18 Apr
Turkey W
1 : 1
Switzerland W
14 Apr
Switzerland W
3 : 1
Turkey W
07 Mar
Malta W
1 : 4
Switzerland W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sweden W 2
England W 3
Norway W 1
Italy W 2
France W 1
Germany W 2
Spain W 2
Switzerland W 0
Semi-finals
England W 2
Italy W 1
Germany W 0
Spain W 1
Final
England W 2
Spain W 1