Sport Picks

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Spakenburg vs Jong Almere City

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Westmaat, Spakenburg
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kok O.
60'
Sub
Dors M. In: Bais A.
Out: Dors M.
60'
Sub
Lenssen L. In: Smit M.
Out: Lenssen L.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Spakenburg and Jong Almere City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spakenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Spakenburg
28%
Draws
22%
Jong Almere City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Spakenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Spakenburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Spakenburg a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 19%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spakenburg Jong Almere City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Jong Almere City
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs Spakenburg
4:2
May 17, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs Spakenburg
3:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Jong Almere City
2:0
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Spakenburg vs Jong Almere City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spakenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer El Azzouti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jong Almere City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spakenburg 49 / 100
Jong Almere City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spakenburg Jong Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spakenburg's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jong Almere City conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Spakenburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spakenburg VS Jong Almere City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spakenburg

(Home)
18 Jul
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
23 May
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 2
Spakenburg
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1
Katwijk
09 May
De Treffers
0 : 0
Spakenburg
25 Apr
Spakenburg
3 : 2
Rijnsburgse Boys
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Jong Almere City

(Away)
23 May
Jong Almere City
5 : 4
GVVV
16 May
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 1
Jong Almere City
09 May
Jong Almere City
3 : 2
RKAV Volendam
25 Apr
HSV Hoek
4 : 0
Jong Almere City
18 Apr
Jong Almere City
3 : 0
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys341910569:3566
2De Treffers34189764:3763
3HSV Hoek34196960:3763
4Rijnsburgse Boys341681076:5556
5Hardenberg341751258:4456
6Spakenburg341681072:6056
7Katwijk341571260:5552
8Jong Almere City341551470:6250
9Kozakken Boys341381347:5547
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341291371:7345
11AFC341291346:5445
12Barendrecht341341762:8443
13RKAV Volendam341331850:6242
14GVVV341261652:6742
15Koninklijke HFC341231933:4939
16IJsselmeervogels34942146:6531
17Excelsior Maassluis34871939:5831
18ACV Assen34791848:7130
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)