Sport Picks
Spakenburg vs Katwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie Sportpark De Westmaat, Spakenburg 
Match Events
37'
37'
Junte R.
Assist: van der Weijden M.
64'
64'
Sub
el Azzouti A. In: Hage S.
Out: el Azzouti A.
66'
66'
Sub
Kamperveen A. In: Been W.
Out: Kamperveen A.
AI Match Summary
Spakenburg in this Tweede Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spakenburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Spakenburg at 1.76 per game, Katwijk at 1.72.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 14%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spakenburg | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Katwijk
1:0
May 16, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Katwijk
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Spakenburg
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Spakenburg
2:1
Oct 31, 2024 KNVB Beker
Spakenburg vs Katwijk
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spakenburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Junte R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Katwijk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spakenburg 30 / 100
Katwijk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spakenburg Katwijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spakenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spakenburg scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Katwijk has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Spakenburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spakenburg VS Katwijk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spakenburg
(Home) 03 Oct
Spakenburg
2 : 1 AFC
26 Sept
De Treffers
5 : 0 Spakenburg
22 Sept
RKAV Volendam
3 : 2 Spakenburg
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3 Spakenburg
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Spakenburg
2 : 1 AFC
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3 Barendrecht
15 Aug
Spakenburg
1 : 0 Katwijk
18 Jul
Spakenburg
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 3
Katwijk
(Away) 03 Oct
Katwijk
1 : 5 Kozakken Boys
26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1 Katwijk
19 Sept
Katwijk
1 : 2 De Treffers
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Katwijk
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1 Katwijk
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Katwijk
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2 Katwijk
15 Aug
Spakenburg
1 : 0 Katwijk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 17 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 15 |
| 4 | Hardenberg | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 5 | Barendrecht | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 6 | IJsselmeervogels | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Spakenburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Katwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 10 | AFC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 11 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:22 | 10 |
| 12 | GVVV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 13 | HSV Hoek | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:13 | 9 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Jong Almere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 6 |
| 17 | VV Kloetinge | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Rohda Raalte | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:23 | 1 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
