Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spal U19 vs Cittadella U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Samaritani C.
49' Event
Librizzi G.
57' Event
Mureddu M.

AI Match Summary

Cittadella U19 in this Primavera 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Spal U19
20%
Draws
64%
Cittadella U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cittadella U19 lately — more wins on the board than Spal U19.
  • 16% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Spal U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Cittadella U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spal U19 Cittadella U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Cittadella U19
2:3
Nov 23, 2024 Primavera 2
Cittadella U19 vs Spal U19
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Primavera 2
Cittadella U19 vs Spal U19
6:1
Dec 22, 2023 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Cittadella U19
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Cittadella U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samaritani C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Cittadella U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mureddu M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Librizzi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spal U19 41 / 100
Cittadella U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spal U19 Cittadella U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spal U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Spal U19 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Cittadella U19 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Cittadella U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cittadella U19
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spal U19

(Home)
10 May
Spal U19
1 : 1
Modena U19
03 May
Entella U19
3 : 1
Spal U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
18 Apr
Spal U19
2 : 3
Cittadella U19
12 Apr
AlbinoLeffe U19
2 : 1
Spal U19
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Cittadella U19
4 : 2
Modena U19
05 Sept
Venezia U19
5 : 2
Cittadella U19
22 Aug
Cittadella U19
0 : 4
Venezia U19
09 May
Modena U19
1 : 1
Cittadella U19
02 May
Cittadella U19
1 : 2
Entella U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)