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Stadium Background

Spal U19 vs Modena U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Samaritani C.
58' Event
Moratti F.
90'
Pegoraro G.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2024/2025 game between Spal U19 and Modena U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Spal U19
20%
Draws
73%
Modena U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Spal U19 haven't matched Modena U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Modena U19 a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spal U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Modena U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spal U19 Modena U19
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 20
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Modena U19
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Primavera 2
Modena U19 vs Spal U19
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samaritani C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Modena U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moratti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spal U19 10 / 100
Modena U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spal U19 Modena U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Spal U19 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Modena U19 conceded in 78% of 37 recent games.

Spal U19 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Modena U19
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spal U19

(Home)
10 May
Spal U19
1 : 1
Modena U19
03 May
Entella U19
3 : 1
Spal U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
18 Apr
Spal U19
2 : 3
Cittadella U19
12 Apr
AlbinoLeffe U19
2 : 1
Spal U19
Page 1 of 6

Modena U19

(Away)
05 Sept
Modena U19
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli U19
30 May
Modena U19
2 : 3
AlbinoLeffe U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Modena U19
1 : 1
Cittadella U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)