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Spal vs Campobasso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Di Nardo A.
45' Event
Di Nardo A.
Penalty Missed
45'
Mignanelli D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 game between Spal and Campobasso finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campobasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Spal
35%
Draws
34%
Campobasso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campobasso come out ahead of Spal on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Spal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Spal Clean Sheet 68%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spal Campobasso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Spal vs Campobasso
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Spal
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spal Compare

Top Goalscorer Antenucci M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Nardo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pellitteri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spal 50 / 100
Campobasso 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spal Campobasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Spal found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Campobasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Spal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Campobasso
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spal

(Home)
17 May
Spal
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
10 May
AC Milan U23
1 : 0
Spal
27 Apr
Spal
3 : 0
Gubbio
23 Apr
Vis Pesaro
1 : 1
Spal
12 Apr
Spal
1 : 1
US Pontedera
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Campobasso

(Away)
04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Entella 38 23 14 1 61:24 83
2 Ternana 38 22 10 6 64:23 74
3 Sassari Torres 38 19 11 8 55:36 68
4 Pescara 38 19 10 9 55:35 67
5 Arezzo 38 19 7 12 48:37 64
6 Vis Pesaro 38 15 13 10 44:34 58
7 Pineto 38 15 12 11 46:49 57
8 Pianese 38 15 8 15 48:48 53
9 Rimini 38 13 14 11 45:35 51
10 US Pontedera 38 13 9 16 54:54 48
11 Gubbio 38 13 9 16 32:42 48
12 Perugia 38 11 14 13 43:41 47
13 Carpi 38 11 11 16 41:48 44
14 Campobasso 38 11 10 17 36:46 43
15 Ascoli 38 9 13 16 37:46 40
16 Lucchese 38 10 15 13 47:64 39
17 Spal 38 9 11 18 41:61 35
18 AC Milan U23 38 7 13 18 36:57 34
19 Sestri Levante 38 6 13 19 34:54 31
20 Legnago Salus 38 6 11 21 30:63 29
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)