Sport Picks
Spalding United vs Bedford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
15'
15'
Castiglione J.
44'
44'
Cybulski B.
49'
49'
Cybulski B.
AI Match Summary
Spalding United in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spalding United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bedford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Bedford haven't matched Spalding United's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Spalding United have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 20%
Bedford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spalding United | Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League North
Spalding United vs Bedford
2:1
Jan 4, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bedford vs Spalding United
1:5
Aug 10, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Bedford
1:0
Oct 17, 2020 FA Trophy
Spalding United vs Bedford
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spalding United Compare
Top Goalscorer Cybulski B.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Bedford Compare
Top Goalscorer Castiglione J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spalding United 31 / 100
Bedford 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spalding United Bedford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spalding United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spalding United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Bedford has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Spalding United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spalding United VS Bedford
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spalding United
(Home) 10 Oct
Marine
1 : 0 Spalding United
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0 Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1 Spalding United
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Hanley Town
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0 Bury Town
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Hanley Town
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1 Bedford
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
29 Aug
Spalding United
3 : 1 Worksop
Page 1 of 3
Bedford
(Away) 10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0 Bedford
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3 Bedford
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1 Hereford
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1 King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0 Bedford
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3 Bedford
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1 Bedford
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2 Bedford
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1 Bedford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 6 | King’s Lynn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 22 | Telford | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | 7 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
