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Spalding United vs Darlington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spalding United host Darlington FC in the National League North. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Spalding United at 1.7 goals for, 1.3 against; Darlington FC at 1.36 for, 1.93 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.31, favoring Spalding United. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Spalding United
35%
Draws
32%
Darlington FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spalding United come out ahead of Darlington FC on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Spalding United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 18%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spalding United Darlington FC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spalding United 36 / 100
Darlington FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spalding United Darlington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Darlington FC conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Spalding United scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Spalding United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Darlington FC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spalding United VS Darlington FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spalding United

(Home)
20 Oct
Alvechurch
4 : 0
Spalding United
17 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2
Alvechurch
10 Oct
Marine
1 : 0
Spalding United
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
Page 1 of 6

Darlington FC

(Away)
17 Oct
Telford
2 : 1
Darlington FC
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)