Sport Picks
Spalding United vs Stratford Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Ludford-Ison L.
10'
10'
Fowkes B.
52'
52'
Ludford-Ison L.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Spalding United and Stratford finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stratford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spalding United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Spalding United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Spalding United's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 20%
Stratford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spalding United | Stratford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Stratford
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Spalding United
2:2
Jan 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Stratford
3:0
Nov 9, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Spalding United
0:1
Sep 2, 2023 FA Cup
Stratford vs Spalding United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spalding United Compare
Top Goalscorer Fowkes B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Stratford Compare
Top Goalscorer Ludford-Ison L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Wragg C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spalding United 85 / 100
Stratford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spalding United Stratford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spalding United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Spalding United scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Stratford conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Spalding United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spalding United VS Stratford
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spalding United
(Home) 26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Hanley Town
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1 Bedford
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Hanley Town
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1 Bedford
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
29 Aug
Spalding United
3 : 1 Worksop
18 Aug
Spalding United
0 : 0 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 4
Stratford
(Away) 29 Sept
Banbury
2 : 3 Stratford
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1 Stratford
22 Sept
Stratford
2 : 3 Bromsgrove
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1 Stratford
12 Sept
Kettering
1 : 0 Stratford
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Banbury
2 : 3 Stratford
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1 Stratford
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1 Stratford
12 Sept
Kettering
1 : 0 Stratford
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2 Stratford
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
