Sport Picks
Spalding United vs Stratford
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Ludford-Ison L.
10'
10'
Fowkes B.
52'
52'
Ludford-Ison L.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Spalding United and Stratford finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stratford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spalding United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Very High Confidence
- Spalding United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Spalding United's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 12%
Stratford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spalding United | Stratford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Stratford
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Spalding United
2:2
Jan 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Stratford
3:0
Nov 9, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Spalding United
0:1
Sep 2, 2023 FA Cup
Stratford vs Spalding United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spalding United Compare
Top Goalscorer Fowkes B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Stratford Compare
Top Goalscorer Ludford-Ison L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Wragg C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spalding United 83 / 100
Stratford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spalding United Stratford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Spalding United scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Spalding United remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Stratford let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Spalding United VS Stratford
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spalding United
(Home) 18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2 Scunthorpe
04 May
Spalding United
4 : 2 Real Bedford
29 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 0 Halesowen
25 Apr
Worcester
4 : 4 Spalding United
18 Apr
Leiston
2 : 2 Spalding United
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2 Scunthorpe
04 May
Spalding United
4 : 2 Real Bedford
29 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 0 Halesowen
11 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 3 Stratford
03 Apr
Spalding United
3 : 1 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 4
Stratford
(Away) 25 Jul
Stratford
0 : 5 Kidderminster
21 Jul
Stratford
1 : 0 Brackley
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0 Stratford
18 Apr
Stratford
1 : 2 Bromsgrove
11 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 3 Stratford
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0 Stratford
11 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 3 Stratford
03 Apr
Stortford
1 : 1 Stratford
21 Mar
Stourbridge
0 : 3 Stratford
07 Mar
Leiston
1 : 1 Stratford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
