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Spanish Town Police vs Portmore

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Royal Lakes Complex, Spanish Town
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Gayle N.
52'
Gayle N.
62' Event
Ximines T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Spanish Town Police and Portmore finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portmore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Spanish Town Police
15%
Draws
85%
Portmore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portmore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Portmore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Portmore's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portmore have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%
Portmore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spanish Town Police Portmore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Portmore
0:1
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Spanish Town Police
4:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Portmore
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spanish Town Police Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Ximines T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spanish Town Police 10 / 100
Portmore 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spanish Town Police Portmore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Spanish Town Police scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Portmore lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spanish Town Police VS Portmore
0.4 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spanish Town Police

(Home)
06 May
Spanish Town Police
0 : 4
Racing United
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
23 Apr
Spanish Town Police
0 : 1
Portmore
20 Apr
Cavalier
3 : 0
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 6

Portmore

(Away)
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)