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Sparta Brno vs Velke Mezirici - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Brno host Velke Mezirici in the 4. liga - Group D. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sparta Brno have averaged 1.86 scored and 2.04 conceded recently, against Velke Mezirici's 1.34 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Sparta Brno have won 2 to Velke Mezirici's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.75) back Sparta Brno to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sparta Brno
15%
Draws
28%
Velke Mezirici
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Brno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sparta Brno come out ahead of Velke Mezirici on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sparta Brno a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 12%
Velke Mezirici Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brno Velke Mezirici
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Velke Mezirici vs Sparta Brno
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Velke Mezirici
1:2
Nov 13, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Velke Mezirici vs Sparta Brno
1:2
Aug 6, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Velke Mezirici
1:0
Apr 30, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Velke Mezirici
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brno 83 / 100
Velke Mezirici 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brno Velke Mezirici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Brno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Brno found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Velke Mezirici let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sparta Brno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brno VS Velke Mezirici
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Brno

(Home)
03 Oct
Sparta Brno
3 : 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou
25 Sept
Bohunice
1 : 2
Sparta Brno
19 Sept
Sparta Brno
3 : 2
Tasovice
12 Sept
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
3 : 1
Sparta Brno
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
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Velke Mezirici

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Kurim
3 : 0
Velke Mezirici
27 Sept
Velke Mezirici
2 : 1
Bedrichov
20 Sept
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Velke Mezirici
13 Sept
Pelhrimov
5 : 0
Velke Mezirici
06 Sept
Velke Mezirici
3 : 2
Zdirec nad Doubravou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velka Bites 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
2 Bohunice 9 5 2 2 21:9 17
3 FC Kurim 9 5 1 3 25:13 16
4 Slovan Havlickuv Brod 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
5 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 14:13 16
6 FS Trebic 9 5 1 3 11:15 16
7 Znojmo 9 4 3 2 17:10 15
8 Pelhrimov 9 4 2 3 21:13 14
9 Tasovice 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
10 Bystrc 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
11 Humpolec 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
12 Chotebor 9 2 3 4 9:17 9
13 Velke Mezirici 9 2 3 4 10:20 9
14 Zdar nad Sazavou 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
15 Zdirec nad Doubravou 9 2 2 5 14:21 8
16 Bedrichov 9 0 2 7 9:30 2
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)