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Sparta Brodnica vs Pelikan Niechanowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Sparta Brodnica and Pelikan Niechanowo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelikan Niechanowo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sparta Brodnica
6%
Draws
90%
Pelikan Niechanowo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pelikan Niechanowo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pelikan Niechanowo come out ahead of Sparta Brodnica on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pelikan Niechanowo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sparta Brodnica Clean Sheet 10%
Pelikan Niechanowo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brodnica Pelikan Niechanowo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 3 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Sparta Brodnica vs Pelikan Niechanowo
0:3
Sep 27, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Pelikan Niechanowo vs Sparta Brodnica
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brodnica 10 / 100
Pelikan Niechanowo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brodnica Pelikan Niechanowo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sparta Brodnica scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Pelikan Niechanowo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Pelikan Niechanowo registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brodnica VS Pelikan Niechanowo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Warta Poznan30188457:2462
2Pelikan Niechanowo30195660:2862
3Lech Poznan II30179469:2360
4Kleczew30158763:3053
5Jarocin30149747:2751
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol30156945:2851
7Wda Swiecie30147937:3749
8KKS Kalisz301361141:4145
9Elana Torun301351251:4144
10Unia Swarzedz301081239:5538
11Start Warlubie30981340:4535
12Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski30941739:6731
13Ostrovia Ostrow30851736:4829
14Nielba Wagrowiec30651932:6823
15Sparta Brodnica304101626:5522
16Kujawianka30332426:9112