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Sparta Chisinau vs Zaria Balti

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2019
Sun, Aug 11, 2019
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Chisinau host Zaria Balti in the Liga 1 2019. This has Zaria Balti written all over it on paper. Sparta Chisinau have averaged 0 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Zaria Balti's 3 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Zaria Balti slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 11, 2019, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 3.00) point toward Zaria Balti. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sparta Chisinau
6%
Draws
90%
Zaria Balti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zaria Balti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Chisinau haven't matched Zaria Balti's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zaria Balti a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sparta Chisinau Clean Sheet 10%
Zaria Balti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Chisinau Zaria Balti
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 27 17
Goals Scored 0 3
Goals Conceded 3 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2019 Liga 1
Sparta Chisinau vs Zaria Balti
0:3
Apr 7, 2019 Liga 1
Zaria Balti vs Sparta Chisinau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Chisinau 10 / 100
Zaria Balti 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Chisinau Zaria Balti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaria Balti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sparta Chisinau scored in 20% of their last 30 games.

Zaria Balti's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Chisinau VS Zaria Balti
0 Goals Scored 3
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Chisinau

(Home)
09 Nov
Real Sireti
3 : 0
Sparta Chisinau
02 Nov
Sparta Chisinau
0 : 3
Cahul
26 Oct
Real Succes
3 : 0
Sparta Chisinau
19 Oct
Sparta Chisinau
0 : 3
Dacia Buiucani
06 Oct
Tighina
3 : 0
Sparta Chisinau
Page 1 of 6

Zaria Balti

(Away)
09 Nov
Zaria Balti
4 : 5
Victoria
02 Nov
Zaria Balti
2 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
26 Oct
Zaria Balti
4 : 2
Singerei
19 Oct
Zaria Balti
2 : 3
Granicerul
29 Sept
Zaria Balti
5 : 0
Real Sireti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floresti28223371:2969
2Dacia Buiucani28223368:1769
3Sparta Selemet28202672:2862
4Tighina28193684:3160
5Cahul28146860:3448
6Victoria281411358:5443
7Speranta Drochia281251144:3741
8Granicerul281041447:6634
9Real Sireti281031548:8333
10Zaria Balti28941565:6031
11Iskra Ribnita28941551:6231
12Real Succes28941559:6331
13FCM Ungheni28931655:8330
14Singerei28631938:7221
15Sparta Chisinau2802266:1072
Promotion - Divizia Nationala 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Divizia Nationala 2019 (Relegation)