Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

0 - 6

Avia Swidnik

Our Tip

Match Events

Zawadzki D.

(Penalty)

15'

Lacki D.

Assist: Assuncao D.

33'

Zuber M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Sparta Kazimierza Wielka and Avia Swidnik finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avia Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Draws

90%

Avia Swidnik

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Avia Swidnik come out ahead of Sparta Kazimierza Wielka on wins alone.
Avia Swidnik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%

Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	Avia Swidnik
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	20
Draws	1	9
Losses	27	1
Goals Scored	0.63	2.25
Goals Conceded	3	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 III Liga - Group IV

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Avia Swidnik

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

0:6

Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Avia Swidnik vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuber M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Lacki D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100

Avia Swidnik 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Avia Swidnik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Avia Swidnik let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Avia Swidnik

0.63 Goals Scored 2.25

3 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	34	23	8	3	84:35	77
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	22	8	4	66:30	74
3	Chelmianka Chelm	34	21	9	4	65:31	72
4	Korona Kielce II	34	18	4	12	66:59	58
5	Star Starachowice	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
6	Czarni Polaniec	34	16	5	13	59:49	53
7	Biala Podlaska	34	14	10	10	60:48	52
8	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	14	9	11	61:45	51
9	Wislanie Skawina	34	15	6	13	52:51	51
10	Wisla II	34	15	4	15	67:58	49
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	12	10	37:35	48
12	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	11	10	13	59:52	43
13	Naprzod Jedrzejow	34	11	5	18	45:55	38
14	Kolbuszowa Dolna	34	11	4	19	36:54	37
15	Stal Krasnik	34	9	7	18	42:52	34
16	Cracovia II	34	9	6	19	44:71	33
17	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	5	4	25	35:80	19
18	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	34	4	1	29	29:110	13