Sport Picks
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Khromykh Y.
74'
74'
Majda O.
84'
84'
Khromykh Y.
AI Match Summary
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
- Win probability leans Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 23%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 27 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.4 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
4:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Top Goalscorer Khromykh Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Majda O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Difficult form: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
(Home) 30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5 Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5 Biala Podlaska
02 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1 : 3 Cracovia II
19 Apr
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
04 Apr
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1 : 5 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 3
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Away) 26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
23 Aug
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
15 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
