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Stadium Background

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Khromykh Y.
74' Event
Majda O.
84' Event
Khromykh Y.

AI Match Summary

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
6%
Draws
90%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
  • Win probability leans Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 23%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 2 10
Draws 1 7
Losses 27 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
4:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Top Goalscorer Khromykh Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Majda O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sparta Kazimierza Wielka scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013