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Sparta-KT vs MAK

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lepekhin V.
26' Event
Harutyunyan H.
43' Event
Kovalev V.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Sparta-KT and MAK finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MAK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sparta-KT
20%
Draws
73%
MAK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MAK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • MAK's 2.47 goals per match outpaces what Sparta-KT have produced (1.32).
  • Model gives MAK a 73% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and MAK have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 20%
MAK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta-KT MAK
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.32 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs MAK
1:6
May 30, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs MAK
2:5
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
MAK vs Sparta-KT
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta-KT Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepekhin V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamara H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

MAK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sydorenko D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Harutyunyan H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta-KT 10 / 100
MAK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta-KT MAK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MAK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 15 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Sparta-KT scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Sparta-KT remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta-KT VS MAK
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta-KT

(Home)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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MAK

(Away)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
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