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Sparta Lichtenberg vs Mahlsdorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 game between Sparta Lichtenberg and Mahlsdorf finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sparta Lichtenberg
6%
Draws
4%
Mahlsdorf
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sparta Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Lichtenberg's 3 goals per match outpaces what Mahlsdorf have produced (0.88).
  • Win probability leans Sparta Lichtenberg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 14%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Lichtenberg Mahlsdorf
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 3 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Mahlsdorf
2:2
Aug 3, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg
3:2
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Mahlsdorf
3:2
Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Mahlsdorf
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Lichtenberg 84 / 100
Mahlsdorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Lichtenberg Mahlsdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sparta Lichtenberg scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Mahlsdorf has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Sparta Lichtenberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Lichtenberg VS Mahlsdorf
3 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SV Tasmania Berlin30221785:3267
2Lichtenberg30194777:4561
3Hansa Rostock II30183966:4957
4TSG Neustrelitz30165962:3853
5Klosterfelde30157859:4352
6Siedenbollentin30138959:5947
7Mahlsdorf301371050:4946
8TUS Makkabi301421457:5544
9Wismar301251356:5541
10Sparta Lichtenberg301231577:7239
11Rathenow309101141:4737
12TB Berlin301061444:5836
13Berliner AK 07301131650:6636
14Dynamo Schwerin307101341:4731
15Croatia Berlin30542139:8119
16Viktoria Berlin30342342:10913