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Sparta Lichtenberg vs Mariendorf

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Lichtenberg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sparta Lichtenberg
20%
Draws
0%
Mariendorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sparta Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Lichtenberg have won more games recently than Mariendorf.
  • Sparta Lichtenberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 87.80000000000001%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 10%
Mariendorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Lichtenberg Mariendorf
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 11 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.38 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Mariendorf
3:2
Feb 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Mariendorf
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Lichtenberg 83 / 100
Mariendorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Lichtenberg Mariendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Lichtenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Lichtenberg scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Mariendorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Mariendorf lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Lichtenberg VS Mariendorf
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Lichtenberg

(Home)
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1
FSV Schwerin
09 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
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Mariendorf

(Away)
14 Jul
Sparta Lichtenberg
3 : 2
Mariendorf
02 Feb
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 3
Mariendorf
22 Jan
Mariendorf
1 : 3
TUS Makkabi
15 Jan
Mariendorf
1 : 5
BFC Preussen
09 Jul
Mahlsdorf
5 : 2
Mariendorf
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