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Sparta Lichtenberg vs TSG Neustrelitz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord game between Sparta Lichtenberg and TSG Neustrelitz finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sparta Lichtenberg
15%
Draws
0%
TSG Neustrelitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • TSG Neustrelitz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sparta Lichtenberg a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 14%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Lichtenberg TSG Neustrelitz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.14 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TSG Neustrelitz
4:1
May 17, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TSG Neustrelitz
4:2
Nov 22, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg
6:1
May 11, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs TSG Neustrelitz
6:4
Nov 10, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Lichtenberg 57 / 100
TSG Neustrelitz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Lichtenberg TSG Neustrelitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Lichtenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sparta Lichtenberg scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: TSG Neustrelitz registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

TSG Neustrelitz has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Lichtenberg VS TSG Neustrelitz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Lichtenberg

(Home)
11 Oct
Sparta Lichtenberg
0 : 4
Hertha Zehlendorf
27 Sept
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
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TSG Neustrelitz

(Away)
10 Oct
Mahlsdorf
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
27 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 2
Reinickendorfer
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berliner AK 07 7 4 3 0 12:6 15
2 Siedenbollentin 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
3 Mahlsdorf 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 7 4 0 3 12:6 12
5 Lichtenberg 7 4 0 3 10:8 12
6 Wismar 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
7 Reinickendorfer 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
8 Rathenow 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
9 Hansa Rostock II 7 2 3 2 18:11 9
10 TB Berlin 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
11 FSV Schwerin 7 2 3 2 11:12 9
12 Klosterfelde 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
13 TUS Makkabi 7 2 2 3 6:14 8
14 Stendal 7 2 1 4 11:14 7
15 Sparta Lichtenberg 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
16 TSG Neustrelitz 7 1 0 6 10:18 3
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)