Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Nijkerk vs Capelle

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2024/2025 Sportpark De Ebbenhorst, Nijkerk
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
el Ghazouani O.
Assist: Sterling K.
20'
Sterling K.
20' Event
Kusters J.
Assist: van der Heiden D.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Nijkerk in this KNVB Beker 2024/2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sparta Nijkerk
20%
Draws
51%
Capelle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Nijkerk lately — more wins on the board than Capelle.
  • Win probability leans Capelle's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Sparta Nijkerk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sparta Nijkerk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 11%
Capelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Nijkerk Capelle
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.31 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 KNVB Beker
Sparta Nijkerk vs Capelle
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Nijkerk Compare

Top Goalscorer el Ghazouani O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fonville T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Capelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusters J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Nijkerk 22 / 100
Capelle 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Nijkerk Capelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capelle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Nijkerk scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Capelle let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sparta Nijkerk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Nijkerk VS Capelle
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Nijkerk

(Home)
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
15 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 3
Sportlust
30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
27 May
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 3
IJsselmeervogels
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
Eemdijk
Page 1 of 6

Capelle

(Away)
11 Aug
Capelle
2 : 2
Rijnsburgse Boys
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Sparta Nijkerk 6
Laar 0
Achilles Veen 2
Harkemase Boys 1
HV & CV Quick 4
UNA 1
Capelle 3
HSC '21 1
Gemert 4
Excelsior 31 0
Winterswijk 2
CVV Blauw Wit 34 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
VV Heerjansdam 1
Blauw Geel 4
SV Juliana 31 4
Geldrop 2
Smitshoek 1
Lisse 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DEM 1
Ajax (Am) 2
HBC 3
Kolping Boys 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Kozakken Boys 1
VVSB 2
VV Kloetinge 1
KVV Quick 20 2
ASWH 3
SVBO 1
TBD -
Hardenberg -
ACV Assen -
TBD -
SteDoCo 2
IJsselmeervogels 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SV Poortugaal 3
ONS Sneek 1
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
EVV 0
RKVV Zwaluw 1
Rijnvogels 2
Forum Sport 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
Rohda Raalte 0
Sportlust 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
FC 's-Gravenzande 0
RKAVV Leidschendam 2
VV DOVO 2
SVV Scheveningen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
GOES 2
USV Hercules 4
Huizen 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TOGB 0
VV Noordwijk 4
HSV Hoek 2
Putten 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Meerssen 0
Genemuiden 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 2
Schaijk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
HVV Hollandia 0
RKSV UDI 19 1
De Bilt 2
Eemdijk 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
OJC Rosmalen 2
Elinkwijk 1
Olde Veste 2
Barendrecht -
TBD -
TEC 4
Urk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/64-finals
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Sparta Nijkerk 4
Achilles Veen 2
HV & CV Quick 0
Capelle 3
Gemert 0
Winterswijk 2
TBD -
Heracles -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
AFC 3
GVVV 0
RKAV Volendam 2
Blauw Geel 3
SV Juliana 31 1
Lisse 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax (Am) 1
Kolping Boys 2
TBD -
Groningen -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
VVSB 1
KVV Quick 20 2
ASWH 1
Hardenberg 0
ACV Assen 2
IJsselmeervogels 5
TBD -
Heerenveen -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SV Poortugaal 1
Koninklijke HFC 3
TBD -
FC Emmen -
RKVV Zwaluw 1
Rijnvogels 4
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
Sportlust 0
TBD -
Roda -
RKAVV Leidschendam 0
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
USV Hercules 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
VV Noordwijk 2
HSV Hoek 0
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Genemuiden 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
TBD -
Willem II -
RKSV UDI 19 1
Eemdijk 2
OJC Rosmalen 2
Olde Veste 1
Barendrecht 4
TEC 0
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/32-finals
De Graafschap 4
TOP Oss 1
Sparta Nijkerk 5
Capelle 1
Winterswijk 0
Heracles 1
Nijmegen 4
Zwolle 3
Waalwijk 3
Vitesse 1
Den Haag 1
Cambuur 4
AFC 3
Blauw Geel 1
Lisse 1
Utrecht 2
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
Kolping Boys 1
Groningen 5
Ajax -
TBD -
Telstar 3
Helmond Sport 0
Quick Boys 3
Almere City 0
De Treffers 1
Sittard 4
KVV Quick 20 0
ASWH 2
IJsselmeervogels 2
Heerenveen 3
PSV -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC 1
FC Emmen 0
Rijnvogels 0
Eindhoven FC 7
Excelsior 2
Venlo 1
Rijnsburgse Boys 3
Roda 1
VV DOVO 1
FC Volendam 5
Maastricht 2
Den Bosch 1
TBD -
Feyenoord -
USV Hercules 1
Sparta Rotterdam 6
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg 2
Katwijk 4
TBD -
Twente -
VV Noordwijk 2
Dordrecht 1
Genemuiden 2
Willem II 3
Eemdijk 2
OJC Rosmalen 1
Barendrecht 2
NAC Breda 1
1/16-finals
De Graafschap 4
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Heracles 1
Nijmegen 0
Waalwijk 4
Cambuur 1
AFC 0
Utrecht 8
AZ Alkmaar 3
Groningen 1
Ajax 2
Telstar 0
Quick Boys 3
Sittard 1
ASWH 0
Heerenveen 1
PSV 8
Koninklijke HFC 0
Eindhoven FC 1
Excelsior 3
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
FC Volendam 0
Maastricht 1
Feyenoord 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Katwijk 2
Twente 3
VV Noordwijk 2
Willem II 1
Eemdijk 1
Barendrecht 6
1/8-finals
De Graafschap 0
Heracles 2
Waalwijk 1
Utrecht 2
AZ Alkmaar 2
Ajax 0
Quick Boys 3
Heerenveen 2
PSV 5
Excelsior 4
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
Feyenoord 4
G.A. Eagles 3
Twente 1
VV Noordwijk 1
Barendrecht 0
Quarter-finals
Heracles 2
Utrecht 0
AZ Alkmaar 3
Quick Boys 1
PSV 2
Feyenoord 0
G.A. Eagles 3
VV Noordwijk 1
Semi-finals
Heracles 2
AZ Alkmaar 3
PSV 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Final
AZ Alkmaar 1
G.A. Eagles 2