Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Nijkerk vs Capelle

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2024/2025 Sportpark De Ebbenhorst, Nijkerk
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
el Ghazouani O.
Assist: Sterling K.
20'
Sterling K.
20' Event
Kusters J.
Assist: van der Heiden D.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Nijkerk in this KNVB Beker 2024/2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sparta Nijkerk
15%
Draws
48%
Capelle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Nijkerk lately — more wins on the board than Capelle.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Nijkerk's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Sparta Nijkerk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sparta Nijkerk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 20%
Capelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Nijkerk Capelle
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 KNVB Beker
Sparta Nijkerk vs Capelle
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Nijkerk Compare

Top Goalscorer el Ghazouani O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fonville T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Capelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusters J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Nijkerk 42 / 100
Capelle 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Nijkerk Capelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Nijkerk scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Capelle let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sparta Nijkerk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Nijkerk VS Capelle
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Nijkerk

(Home)
30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
27 May
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 3
IJsselmeervogels
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
Eemdijk
16 May
Sportlust
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
09 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

Capelle

(Away)
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
24 Sept
HV & CV Quick
0 : 3
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Sparta Nijkerk 6
Laar 0
Achilles Veen 2
Harkemase Boys 1
HV & CV Quick 4
UNA 1
Capelle 3
HSC '21 1
Gemert 4
Excelsior 31 0
Winterswijk 2
CVV Blauw Wit 34 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
VV Heerjansdam 1
Blauw Geel 4
SV Juliana 31 4
Geldrop 2
Smitshoek 1
Lisse 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DEM 1
Ajax (Am) 2
HBC 3
Kolping Boys 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Kozakken Boys 1
VVSB 2
VV Kloetinge 1
KVV Quick 20 2
ASWH 3
SVBO 1
TBD -
Hardenberg -
ACV Assen -
TBD -
SteDoCo 2
IJsselmeervogels 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SV Poortugaal 3
ONS Sneek 1
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
EVV 0
RKVV Zwaluw 1
Rijnvogels 2
Forum Sport 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
Rohda Raalte 0
Sportlust 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
FC 's-Gravenzande 0
RKAVV Leidschendam 2
VV DOVO 2
SVV Scheveningen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
GOES 2
USV Hercules 4
Huizen 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TOGB 0
VV Noordwijk 4
HSV Hoek 2
Putten 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Meerssen 0
Genemuiden 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 2
Schaijk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
HVV Hollandia 0
RKSV UDI 19 1
De Bilt 2
Eemdijk 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
OJC Rosmalen 2
Elinkwijk 1
Olde Veste 2
Barendrecht -
TBD -
TEC 4
Urk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/64-finals
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Sparta Nijkerk 4
Achilles Veen 2
HV & CV Quick 0
Capelle 3
Gemert 0
Winterswijk 2
TBD -
Heracles -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
AFC 3
GVVV 0
RKAV Volendam 2
Blauw Geel 3
SV Juliana 31 1
Lisse 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax (Am) 1
Kolping Boys 2
TBD -
Groningen -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
VVSB 1
KVV Quick 20 2
ASWH 1
Hardenberg 0
ACV Assen 2
IJsselmeervogels 5
TBD -
Heerenveen -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SV Poortugaal 1
Koninklijke HFC 3
TBD -
FC Emmen -
RKVV Zwaluw 1
Rijnvogels 4
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
Sportlust 0
TBD -
Roda -
RKAVV Leidschendam 0
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
USV Hercules 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
VV Noordwijk 2
HSV Hoek 0
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Genemuiden 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
TBD -
Willem II -
RKSV UDI 19 1
Eemdijk 2
OJC Rosmalen 2
Olde Veste 1
Barendrecht 4
TEC 0
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/32-finals
De Graafschap 4
TOP Oss 1
Sparta Nijkerk 5
Capelle 1
Winterswijk 0
Heracles 1
Nijmegen 4
Zwolle 3
Waalwijk 3
Vitesse 1
Den Haag 1
Cambuur 4
AFC 3
Blauw Geel 1
Lisse 1
Utrecht 2
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
Kolping Boys 1
Groningen 5
Ajax -
TBD -
Telstar 3
Helmond Sport 0
Quick Boys 3
Almere City 0
De Treffers 1
Sittard 4
KVV Quick 20 0
ASWH 2
IJsselmeervogels 2
Heerenveen 3
PSV -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC 1
FC Emmen 0
Rijnvogels 0
Eindhoven FC 7
Excelsior 2
Venlo 1
Rijnsburgse Boys 3
Roda 1
VV DOVO 1
FC Volendam 5
Maastricht 2
Den Bosch 1
TBD -
Feyenoord -
USV Hercules 1
Sparta Rotterdam 6
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Spakenburg 2
Katwijk 4
TBD -
Twente -
VV Noordwijk 2
Dordrecht 1
Genemuiden 2
Willem II 3
Eemdijk 2
OJC Rosmalen 1
Barendrecht 2
NAC Breda 1
1/16-finals
De Graafschap 4
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Heracles 1
Nijmegen 0
Waalwijk 4
Cambuur 1
AFC 0
Utrecht 8
AZ Alkmaar 3
Groningen 1
Ajax 2
Telstar 0
Quick Boys 3
Sittard 1
ASWH 0
Heerenveen 1
PSV 8
Koninklijke HFC 0
Eindhoven FC 1
Excelsior 3
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
FC Volendam 0
Maastricht 1
Feyenoord 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Katwijk 2
Twente 3
VV Noordwijk 2
Willem II 1
Eemdijk 1
Barendrecht 6
1/8-finals
De Graafschap 0
Heracles 2
Waalwijk 1
Utrecht 2
AZ Alkmaar 2
Ajax 0
Quick Boys 3
Heerenveen 2
PSV 5
Excelsior 4
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
Feyenoord 4
G.A. Eagles 3
Twente 1
VV Noordwijk 1
Barendrecht 0
Quarter-finals
Heracles 2
Utrecht 0
AZ Alkmaar 3
Quick Boys 1
PSV 2
Feyenoord 0
G.A. Eagles 3
VV Noordwijk 1
Semi-finals
Heracles 2
AZ Alkmaar 3
PSV 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Final
AZ Alkmaar 1
G.A. Eagles 2