Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Sparta Nijkerk and HSC '21 finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Nijkerk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sparta Nijkerk come out ahead of HSC '21 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sparta Nijkerk's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Sparta Nijkerk have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 16%
HSC '21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | HSC '21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 2.44 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.24 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs HSC '21
7:0
Sep 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:3
Apr 19, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs HSC '21
2:3
Nov 16, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Nijkerk 84 / 100
HSC '21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Nijkerk HSC '21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sparta Nijkerk scored in 89% of their last 27 games.
HSC '21 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Solid form: Sparta Nijkerk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Nijkerk VS HSC '21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Nijkerk
(Home) 05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0 Venray
29 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 5 HVV Hollandia
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
15 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 3 Sportlust
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02 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0 Venray
29 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 5 HVV Hollandia
15 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 3 Sportlust
27 May
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 3 IJsselmeervogels
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 Eemdijk
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HSC '21
(Away) 23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4 TEC
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
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23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
29 Mar
Rohda Raalte
3 : 2 HSC '21
14 Mar
Sportlust
5 : 1 HSC '21
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
