Sport Picks
Sparta Nijkerk vs Sportlust - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Sparta Nijkerk and Sportlust finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportlust haven't matched Sparta Nijkerk's recent run of results.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Nijkerk taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | Sportlust |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Sportlust
3:3
May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Sparta Nijkerk
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Sportlust
4:1
Mar 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Sportlust
0:4
Oct 12, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Nijkerk 83 / 100
Sportlust 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Nijkerk Sportlust
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sparta Nijkerk's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sportlust let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Solid form: Sparta Nijkerk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Nijkerk VS Sportlust
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Nijkerk
(Home) 03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
02 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0 Venray
29 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 5 HVV Hollandia
Page 1 of 3
Sportlust
(Away) 03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
15 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 3 Sportlust
23 May
Harkemase Boys
4 : 1 Sportlust
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
