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Sparta Nijkerk vs VV Hoogeveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Nijkerk host VV Hoogeveen in the Derde Divisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. VV Hoogeveen have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Sparta Nijkerk have conceded 1.65 and scored 2.1. Past meetings favor Sparta Nijkerk slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 6:1. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.81, favoring Sparta Nijkerk. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sparta Nijkerk
15%
Draws
34%
VV Hoogeveen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • VV Hoogeveen haven't matched Sparta Nijkerk's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Nijkerk's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sparta Nijkerk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 11%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Nijkerk VV Hoogeveen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.1 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VV Hoogeveen
6:1
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Sparta Nijkerk
0:1
May 4, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VV Hoogeveen
3:2
Feb 10, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Nijkerk 35 / 100
VV Hoogeveen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Nijkerk VV Hoogeveen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Nijkerk scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

VV Hoogeveen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sparta Nijkerk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Nijkerk VS VV Hoogeveen
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Nijkerk

(Home)
17 Oct
Purmersteijn
3 : 0
Sparta Nijkerk
10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2
VV Scherpenzeel
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
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VV Hoogeveen

(Away)
17 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 4
ACV Assen
10 Oct
Harkemase Boys
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)