Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Nijkerk vs VV Scherpenzeel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Scherpenzeel in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV Scherpenzeel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sparta Nijkerk
15%
Draws
44%
VV Scherpenzeel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Scherpenzeel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sparta Nijkerk have won more games recently than VV Scherpenzeel.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Nijkerk's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sparta Nijkerk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 11%
VV Scherpenzeel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Nijkerk VV Scherpenzeel
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.39 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VV Scherpenzeel
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VV Scherpenzeel
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Scherpenzeel vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Nijkerk 65 / 100
VV Scherpenzeel 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Nijkerk VV Scherpenzeel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Nijkerk's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: VV Scherpenzeel conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sparta Nijkerk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Nijkerk VS VV Scherpenzeel
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Nijkerk

(Home)
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
Page 1 of 7

VV Scherpenzeel

(Away)
03 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 2
ACV Assen
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)