Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Brunes J.
45'
45'
Suchomel M.
Own Goal
63'
63'
Rynes M.
Assist: Irving A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Lyon haven't matched Sparta Prague's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sparta Prague's way, sitting at 70%.
- Sparta Prague have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lyon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 13%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Prague | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Champions League
Lyon vs Sparta Prague
3:0
Aug 4, 2026 Champions League
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
2:1
Nov 4, 2021 Europa League
Lyon vs Sparta Prague
3:0
Oct 21, 2021 Europa League
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
3:4
Nov 22, 2012 Europa League
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Prague Compare
Top Goalscorer Rynes M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mercado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Lyon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Prague 66 / 100
Lyon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Prague Lyon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Sparta Prague scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
Defensive concern: Lyon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Lyon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Prague VS Lyon
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Prague
(Home) 04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1 Lyon
31 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 1 Zlin
25 Jul
Brno
3 : 1 Sparta Prague
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
5 : 1 Sparta Prague
16 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1 Lyon
31 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 1 Zlin
11 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 0 Gamba Osaka
04 Jul
Sparta Prague
4 : 1 Opava
24 May
Sparta Prague
2 : 1 Hradec Kralove
Page 1 of 3
Lyon
(Away) 04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1 Lyon
29 Jul
Betis
4 : 0 Lyon
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2 Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0 Lyon
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1 Servette
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1 Lyon
29 Jul
Betis
4 : 0 Lyon
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2 Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0 Lyon
10 May
Toulouse
2 : 1 Lyon
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia -
AEK -
Celtic -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb -
Viking -
Slovan Bratislava -
Celje -
H. Beer Sheva -
Sabah Baku -
Fenerbahce -
Lyon -
Nijmegen -
Bodo/Glimt -
