Sport Picks

Sparta Prague vs Ostrava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic

MOL Cup epet ARENA, Prague

Ostrava

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the MOL Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Ostrava have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Sparta Prague have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.9. Head-to-head, Sparta Prague have won 2 to Ostrava's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 0.81, favoring Sparta Prague. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Sparta Prague

35%

Draws

28%

Ostrava

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Sparta Prague have won more games recently than Ostrava.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Sparta Prague have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sparta Prague, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 20%

Ostrava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sparta Prague	Ostrava
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	17	11
Draws	3	5
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.9	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.31	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Chance Liga

Ostrava vs Sparta Prague

0:0

Feb 28, 2026 Chance Liga

Sparta Prague vs Ostrava

5:2

Sep 27, 2025 Chance Liga

Ostrava vs Sparta Prague

0:3

May 18, 2025 Chance Liga

Ostrava vs Sparta Prague

3:2

Apr 5, 2025 Chance Liga

Ostrava vs Sparta Prague

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 31 / 100

Ostrava 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sparta Prague Ostrava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sparta Prague scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ostrava has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Sparta Prague stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Ostrava

2.88 Goals Scored 0.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)

22 Oct

Olympiacos Piraeus

1 : 0

Sparta Prague

18 Oct

Ostrava

0 : 0

Sparta Prague

15 Oct

Sparta Prague

1 : 1

Lillestrom

11 Oct

Sparta Prague

2 : 0

FK Pardubice

02 Oct

Sparta Prague

5 : 3

Jihlava

Page 1 of 6

Ostrava

(Away)

18 Oct

Ostrava

0 : 0

Sparta Prague

10 Oct

Bohemians 1905

1 : 0

Ostrava

03 Oct

GKS Katowice

1 : 1

Ostrava

23 Sept

SK Kladno

1 : 2

Ostrava

19 Sept

Slovacko

2 : 2

Ostrava

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Hvezda Cheb 0

Sokolov 3

TBD -

FK Ceska Lipa -

Vysoke Myto 8

Letohrad 1

TBD -

Vlasim -

Usti nad Orlici 2

Svitavy 1

Prepere 3

Velke Hamry 0

TBD -

Liberec -

Rychnov nad Kneznou 0

Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2

TBD -

Admira Prague -

Vestec 2

Benesov 4

TBD -

Taborsko -

Nyrsko 0

Krimice 6

TBD -

Ceske Budejovice -

TBD -

Teplice -

Hluboka nad Vltavou 3

Spartak Sobeslav 2

TBD -

Aritma Prague -

Dvur Kralove 1

Police nad Metuji 2

TBD -

Zizkov -

TBD -

Sparta Prague -

Petrin Plzen 2

FK Komarov 3

TBD -

Domazlice -

Vysehrad 0

Hostoun 2

TBD -

SK Kladno -

Sparta Brno 1

Nove Mesto na Morave 0

Lanzhot 1

Bystrc 0

TBD -

Ostrava -

Zabreh 3

SK Hranice 2

Rajecko 4

Zdar nad Sazavou 1

Belotin 4

Novy Jicin 0

Vratimov FC 1

Havirov 2

Horni Becva 0

Valasske Mezirici 1

TBD -

Unicov -

TBD -

Zlin -

Vejprnice 2

Doubravka 3

Psary 2

Motorlet Prague 3

Stara Rise 0

Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4

TBD -

Jihlava -

TBD -

Plzen -

Bridlicna 1

Hlucin 0

Vsechovice 2

Hlubina 1

Zdirec nad Doubravou 1

FC Kurim 2

TBD -

Prostejov -

TBD -

Sigma Olomouc -

FC Pencin 0

Turnov 3

TBD -

Banik Most-Sous -

SK Strakonice 1908 2

Milevsko 1

TBD -

Pribram -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Bzenec-Vracov 1

Breclav 0

TBD -

Hodonin -

MFK Kravare 1

Bohumin 6

TBD -

Trinec -

Branik 1

Meteor Prague 4

Slany 0

Brozany 2

TBD -

Mlada Boleslav -

Strani 1

Vsetin 2

Chotebor 2

Velke Mezirici 0

SK Krumvir 2

Znojmo 1

TBD -

Kromeriz -

Hermanuv Mestec 3

Hlinsko 0

TBD -

Zapy -

TBD -

Bohemians 1905 -

Velvary 0

Brandys nad Labem 1

Steti 0

Varnsdorf 6

Karlovy Vary 2

Chomutov 1

TBD -

Usti nad Labem -

TBD -

Slavia Prague -

Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1

Cesky Krumlov 5

TBD -

Kraluv Dvur -

Rokycany 1

SK Horovice 0

Tempo Prague 2

Loko Praha 3

TJ Bystrice 1

Frydlant n. Ost. 2

TBD -

Opava -

TBD -

Brno -

Bilovec 0

Vitkovice 1

Nove Sady 2

Sumperk 1

Stonava 1

Polanka nad Odrou 2

Sternberk 2

Rymarov 1

FS Trebic 0

Tasovice 1

Bohunice 1

Uhersky Brod 2

TBD -

Artis Brno -

Kolin 0

Horni Redice 3

TBD -

Chrudim -

Vykan 4

Caslav 3

TBD -

Dukla Prague -

TBD -

Jablonec -

Slavia HK 1

Trutnov 2

TBD -

Benatky n. Jiz. -

Klasterec nad Ohri 4

Ostrov 3

Kosmonosy 1

Neratovice 4

Bedrichov 1

Humpolec 3

Velka Bites 2

FK Blansko 1

TBD -

Slovacko -

FK Kozlovice 1

FK Frydek-Mistek 0

Holesov 1

Slavicin 3

Hluk 2

Brumov 3

TBD -

MFK Karvina -

Spartak Pribram 3

Povltavska FA 2

TBD -

Pisek -

TBD -

FK Pardubice -

1/64-finals

Sokolov 3

FK Ceska Lipa 1

Vysoke Myto 2

Vlasim 4

Usti nad Orlici 3

Prepere 4

TBD -

Liberec -

Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0

Admira Prague 4

Benesov 0

Taborsko 1

Krimice 2

Ceske Budejovice 0

TBD -

Teplice -

Hluboka nad Vltavou 1

Aritma Prague 0

Police nad Metuji 2

Zizkov 4

TBD -

Sparta Prague -

FK Komarov 3

Domazlice 6

Hostoun 0

SK Kladno 4

Sparta Brno 2

Lanzhot 0

TBD -

Ostrava -

Zabreh 5

Rajecko 2

Belotin 1

Havirov 3

Valasske Mezirici 1

Unicov 2

TBD -

Zlin -

Doubravka 2

Motorlet Prague 5

Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1

Jihlava 5

TBD -

Plzen -

Bridlicna 2

Vsechovice 3

FC Kurim 0

Prostejov 7

TBD -

Sigma Olomouc -

Turnov 0

Banik Most-Sous 2

SK Strakonice 1908 0

Pribram 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Bzenec-Vracov 2

Hodonin 0

Bohumin 1

Trinec 2

Meteor Prague 4

Brozany 1

TBD -

Mlada Boleslav -

Vsetin 6

Chotebor 1

SK Krumvir 0

Kromeriz 3

Hermanuv Mestec 0

Zapy 3

TBD -

Bohemians 1905 -

Brandys nad Labem 1

Varnsdorf 2

Karlovy Vary 0

Usti nad Labem 3

TBD -

Slavia Prague -

Cesky Krumlov 3

Kraluv Dvur 4

Rokycany 0

Loko Praha 2

Frydlant n. Ost. 2

Opava 1

TBD -

Brno -

Vitkovice 6

Nove Sady 0

Polanka nad Odrou 5

Sternberk 1

Tasovice 2

Uhersky Brod 3

TBD -

Artis Brno -

Horni Redice 3

Chrudim 0

Vykan 0

Dukla Prague 3

TBD -

Jablonec -

Trutnov 2

Benatky n. Jiz. 5

Klasterec nad Ohri 1

Neratovice 10

Humpolec 0

Velka Bites 2

TBD -

Slovacko -

FK Kozlovice 4

Slavicin 3

Brumov 0

MFK Karvina 4

Spartak Pribram 2

Pisek 3

TBD -

FK Pardubice -

1/32-finals

Sokolov 0

Vlasim 3

Prepere 0

Liberec 2

Admira Prague 0

Taborsko 4

Krimice 1

Teplice 2

Hluboka nad Vltavou 0

Zizkov 2

TBD -

Sparta Prague -

Domazlice 3

SK Kladno 4

Sparta Brno 0

Ostrava 9

Zabreh 0

Havirov 4

Unicov 0

Zlin 2

Motorlet Prague 0

Jihlava 3

TBD -

Plzen -

Vsechovice 0

Prostejov 3

TBD -

Sigma Olomouc -

Banik Most-Sous 1

Pribram 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Bzenec-Vracov 1

Trinec 4

Meteor Prague 0

Mlada Boleslav 4

Vsetin 2

Kromeriz 1

Zapy 2

Bohemians 1905 3

Varnsdorf 1

Usti nad Labem 0

TBD -

Slavia Prague -

Kraluv Dvur 4

Loko Praha 1

Frydlant n. Ost. 0

Brno 10

Vitkovice 2

Polanka nad Odrou 1

Uhersky Brod 0

Artis Brno 2

Horni Redice 0

Dukla Prague 5

TBD -

Jablonec -

Benatky n. Jiz. 1

Neratovice 2

Velka Bites 1

Slovacko 2

FK Kozlovice 2

MFK Karvina 1

Pisek 0

FK Pardubice 2

1/16-finals

Vlasim 0

Liberec 2

Taborsko 0

Teplice 5

Zizkov 0

Sparta Prague 5

SK Kladno 1

Ostrava 2

Havirov 0

Zlin 4

Jihlava -

Plzen -

Prostejov 3

Sigma Olomouc 2

Pribram 1

Hradec Kralove 2

Trinec 0

Mlada Boleslav 3

Vsetin 0

Bohemians 1905 5

Varnsdorf 1

Slavia Prague 5

Kraluv Dvur 0

Brno 3

Vitkovice 0

Artis Brno 3

Dukla Prague 0

Jablonec 1

Neratovice 0

Slovacko 4

FK Kozlovice 0

FK Pardubice 6

1/8-finals

Liberec -

Teplice -

Sparta Prague -

Ostrava -

Zlin -

TBD -

Prostejov -

Hradec Kralove -

Mlada Boleslav -

Bohemians 1905 -

Slavia Prague -

Brno -

Artis Brno -

Jablonec -

Slovacko -

FK Pardubice -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Sparta Prague vs Ostrava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic

Sparta Prague

Ostrava

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

Ostrava

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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