Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Prague vs Zlin

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga epet ARENA, Prague
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Petruta S.
14' Event
Irving A.
21'
Ulbrich T.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Prague in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sparta Prague
15%
Draws
0%
Zlin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Prague lately — more wins on the board than Zlin.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sparta Prague have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 17%
Zlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague Zlin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.79 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Zlin
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Chance Liga
Zlin vs Sparta Prague
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Zlin
3:1
Nov 26, 2023 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Zlin
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Chance Liga
Zlin vs Sparta Prague
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Irving A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brunes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Zlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Smiga D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 31 / 100
Zlin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague Zlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zlin has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Zlin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Prague found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Zlin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
15 Aug
Sparta Prague
4 : 1
Teplice
11 Aug
Lyon
3 : 0
Sparta Prague
08 Aug
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Sparta Prague
04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1
Lyon
31 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 1
Zlin
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Zlin

(Away)
15 Aug
Plzen
3 : 2
Zlin
08 Aug
Zlin
0 : 2
Bohemians 1905
31 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 1
Zlin
25 Jul
Zlin
0 : 1
Ostrava
18 Jul
Slask Wroclaw
3 : 1
Zlin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
2 Jablonec 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Mlada Boleslav 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
4 Liberec 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Hradec Kralove 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
6 Sigma Olomouc 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
7 Teplice 4 2 1 1 10:10 7
8 Sparta Prague 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
9 Ostrava 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
10 Plzen 4 1 2 1 10:11 5
11 Brno 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
12 Bohemians 1905 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
13 Artis Brno 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
14 FK Pardubice 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
15 Slovacko 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
16 Zlin 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)