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Sparta Prague vs Zlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga epet ARENA, Prague
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Petruta S.
14' Event
Irving A.
21'
Ulbrich T.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Prague in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Sparta Prague
15%
Draws
18%
Zlin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Prague lately — more wins on the board than Zlin.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Prague's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sparta Prague have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 68%
Zlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague Zlin
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.11 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Zlin
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Chance Liga
Zlin vs Sparta Prague
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Zlin
3:1
Nov 26, 2023 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Zlin
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Chance Liga
Zlin vs Sparta Prague
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Irving A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brunes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Zlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Smiga D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 95 / 100
Zlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague Zlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zlin has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Sparta Prague went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Prague found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Zlin
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
02 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 3
Jihlava
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5
Sparta Prague
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Zlin

(Away)
02 Oct
Zlin
1 : 2
Prostejov
20 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 1
Zlin
16 Sept
Havirov
0 : 4
Zlin
13 Sept
Zlin
1 : 2
Hradec Kralove
06 Sept
Zlin
1 : 3
Teplice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)