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Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Rotterdam play Telstar in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Telstar averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 1, Telstar won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.06 for Telstar. This points to a Telstar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sparta Rotterdam
33%
Draws
35%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Telstar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sparta Rotterdam picked up more points recently compared to Telstar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
Telstar Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Telstar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
4:1
Oct 25, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar
1:0
Jul 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:0
Aug 18, 2020 Club Friendly
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:0
Jan 25, 2019 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Rotterdam 31 / 100
Telstar 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Rotterdam Telstar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Telstar or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sparta Rotterdam attacking → ← attacking Telstar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Rotterdam scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Telstar let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Sparta Rotterdam went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Telstar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 39
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63