Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Sarpsborg vs Rustad

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Sarpsborg in this Division 3 - Group 1 2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Sarpsborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sparta Sarpsborg
15%
Draws
85%
Rustad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rustad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Sarpsborg haven't matched Rustad's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Rustad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sparta Sarpsborg Clean Sheet 13%
Rustad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Sarpsborg Rustad
Matches Played 38 35
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 1.82 1.86
Goals Conceded 3 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Rustad
3:2
Jun 14, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Rustad vs Sparta Sarpsborg
8:1
Aug 10, 2013 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Rustad
3:2
Apr 27, 2013 Division 3 - Group 1
Rustad vs Sparta Sarpsborg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Sarpsborg 10 / 100
Rustad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Sarpsborg Rustad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rustad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Rustad lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sparta Sarpsborg scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Sarpsborg VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Sarpsborg

(Home)
01 May
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 9
Fredrikstad
22 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
3 : 7
Sarpsborg FK
15 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 2
Sparta Sarpsborg
08 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
1 : 4
Drobak-Frogn
01 Oct
Oslojuvelene
8 : 1
Sparta Sarpsborg
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Rustad

(Away)
25 Oct
Rustad
1 : 5
Trosvik
18 Oct
Sprint-Jeloy
6 : 0
Rustad
11 Oct
Rustad
0 : 1
Oppsal
04 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
3 : 2
Rustad
27 Sept
Rustad
1 : 5
Krakeroy
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