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Sparta Selemet vs FCM Ungheni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 Stadionul Suruceni, Suruceni
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Selemet host FCM Ungheni in the Liga 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FCM Ungheni have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Sparta Selemet have conceded 2.66 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor FCM Ungheni slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 4.00, favoring FCM Ungheni. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sparta Selemet
15%
Draws
65%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni have won more games recently than Sparta Selemet.
  • Win probability leans FCM Ungheni's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Selemet FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.17 2.73
Goals Conceded 2.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
5:2
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 1
Sparta Selemet vs FCM Ungheni
1:1
Apr 15, 2025 Moldovan Cup
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
0:1
Apr 3, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Sparta Selemet vs FCM Ungheni
3:3
May 13, 2022 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Selemet 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Selemet FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FCM Ungheni conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sparta Selemet scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Sparta Selemet remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Selemet VS FCM Ungheni
1.13 Goals Scored 3.88
4.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Selemet

(Home)
10 Oct
Sparta Selemet
1 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
19 Sept
Sparta Selemet
1 : 2
Vulturii Cutezatori
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
01 Sept
Sparta Selemet
0 : 3
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 6

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
09 Oct
FCM Ungheni
1 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau 2
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 9 7 1 1 29:14 22
2 Iskra Ribnita 9 6 0 3 22:9 18
3 FCM Ungheni 9 4 2 3 24:18 14
4 Zimbru Chisinau 2 9 3 1 5 16:21 10
5 Univer Comrat 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
6 Sparta Selemet 9 1 1 7 11:38 4
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Stauceni 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
3 Falesti 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
4 National Ialoveni 7 2 1 4 6:9 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)