Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Selemet vs Floresti

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Suruceni, Suruceni
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Solodovnicov N.
Penalty Missed
9' Event
Ignatov D.
34'
Harb R.

AI Match Summary

Floresti in this Super Liga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sparta Selemet
15%
Draws
85%
Floresti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floresti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Floresti lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Selemet.
  • Win probability leans Floresti's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Floresti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Floresti, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%
Floresti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Selemet Floresti
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.28 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Floresti
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 Super Liga
Floresti vs Sparta Selemet
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Floresti
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Floresti
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Super Liga
Floresti vs Sparta Selemet
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Selemet Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Floresti Compare

Top Goalscorer Litviakov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ignatov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Selemet 10 / 100
Floresti 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Selemet Floresti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sparta Selemet scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Floresti conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Floresti's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Selemet VS Floresti
1.5 Goals Scored 1.43
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Selemet

(Home)
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
01 Sept
Sparta Selemet
0 : 3
Univer Comrat
29 Aug
Sparta Selemet
1 : 6
Univer Comrat
21 Aug
Iskra Ribnita
10 : 0
Sparta Selemet
Page 1 of 6

Floresti

(Away)
01 Sept
Floresti
0 : 3
Edinet
27 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0
Floresti
20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4
Floresti
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
09 May
Floresti
1 : 1
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 2
Oguzsport 3
Iskra Ribnita -
TBD -
TBD -
Stauceni -
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
TBD -
Falesti -
Floresti -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 4
Victoria 2
Quarter-finals
Real Sireti 5
Oguzsport 2
Iskra Ribnita 3
Stauceni 1
Sparta Selemet 3
Falesti 0
Floresti 5
FCM Ungheni 4
Semi-finals
Real Sireti 1
Iskra Ribnita 0
Sparta Selemet 1
Floresti 4
Final
Real Sireti 1
Floresti 0