Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Dubnica in this 4. liga - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Dubnica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Spartak Dubnica
39%
Draws
31%
AFC Nove Mesto
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Dubnica lately — more wins on the board than AFC Nove Mesto.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 4. liga - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spartak Dubnica Clean Sheet 18%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Dubnica AFC Nove Mesto
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Spartak Dubnica
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto
2:0
Aug 14, 2024 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Spartak Dubnica
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Dubnica 31 / 100
AFC Nove Mesto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Dubnica AFC Nove Mesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Dubnica found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

AFC Nove Mesto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Spartak Dubnica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Dubnica VS AFC Nove Mesto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Dubnica

(Home)
13 Jun
Crystal
1 : 4
Spartak Dubnica
06 Jun
Spartak Dubnica
3 : 0
Blava
31 May
Imel
1 : 2
Spartak Dubnica
23 May
Spartak Dubnica
0 : 0
Trebatice
16 May
Nitra
4 : 1
Spartak Dubnica
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AFC Nove Mesto

(Away)
13 Jun
Piestany
2 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
06 Jun
AFC Nove Mesto
3 : 2
Pata
30 May
AFC Nove Mesto
1 : 1
Horna Krupa
23 May
Slovan Levice
2 : 0
AFC Nove Mesto
16 May
AFC Nove Mesto
3 : 0
Boleraz
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