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Spartak Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Dubnica in this 4. liga - West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Dubnica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Spartak Dubnica
20%
Draws
24%
AFC Nove Mesto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Dubnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Dubnica lately — more wins on the board than AFC Nove Mesto.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Dubnica taking it.
  • Regular 4. liga - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spartak Dubnica Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Dubnica AFC Nove Mesto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Spartak Dubnica
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto
2:0
Aug 14, 2024 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Spartak Dubnica
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Dubnica 85 / 100
AFC Nove Mesto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Dubnica AFC Nove Mesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Dubnica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Dubnica scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

AFC Nove Mesto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Spartak Dubnica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Dubnica VS AFC Nove Mesto
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Dubnica

(Home)
10 Oct
Spartak Dubnica
3 : 0
Malzenice B
04 Oct
Trebatice
1 : 3
Spartak Dubnica
26 Sept
Spartak Dubnica
2 : 0
FC Topolcany
20 Sept
Nitra B
1 : 0
Spartak Dubnica
12 Sept
Spartak Dubnica
2 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
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AFC Nove Mesto

(Away)
10 Oct
Soporna
1 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
02 Oct
AFC Nove Mesto
2 : 0
Kanianka
27 Sept
Stankovce
3 : 2
AFC Nove Mesto
19 Sept
AFC Nove Mesto
0 : 0
Piestany
12 Sept
Spartak Dubnica
2 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
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