Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Moscow U19 vs Krylya Sovetov Samara U19

Russia Russia

Youth League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow U19 play Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 in the Youth League 2025. Spartak Moscow U19 are favorites here. Recently, Spartak Moscow U19 averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Moscow U19 won 5, Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 21, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Spartak Moscow U19 and 1.63 for Krylya Sovetov Samara U19. This points to a Spartak Moscow U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Spartak Moscow U19
20%
Draws
23%
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Moscow U19 picked up more points recently compared to Krylya Sovetov Samara U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Spartak Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow U19 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 13 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.78 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 Youth League
Spartak Moscow U19 vs Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
2:1
Jul 11, 2025 Youth League
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19
2:3
Jun 21, 2024 Youth League
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19
3:4
Mar 15, 2024 Youth League
Spartak Moscow U19 vs Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
2:1
Sep 15, 2023 Youth League
Spartak Moscow U19 vs Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondoyanidi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sorokin I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bodrov F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow U19 54 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow U19 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Moscow U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Spartak Moscow U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Moscow U19 attacking → ← attacking Krylya Sovetov Samara U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow U19 scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Spartak Moscow U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 23
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zenit St Petersburg U1930221789:2967
2CSKA Moscow U1930213665:3066
3Krasnodar U1930204687:3664
4Lokomotiv Moscow U1930196551:1763
5FK Rostov U1930158748:2953
6Dynamo Moscow U1930158751:4753
7Spartak Moscow U19301371046:3846
8Rubin Kazan U19301081236:4238
9Konoplev Academy U19301131642:6036
10FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19308101237:3934
11Fakel Voronezh U1930961535:5433
12Ural U1930941740:7731
13Sochi U19306101431:5128
14Krylya Sovetov Samara U1930751842:6426
15Akhmat Grozny U1930642023:6222
16Baltika U1930352222:7014