Sport Picks
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
Premier League Lukoil Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
24'
24'
Costa Martins J. M.
Assist: Barco E.
32'
32'
Egorychev A.
39'
39'
Dyatlov I.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Spartak Moscow and Rodina Moscow finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spartak Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Spartak Moscow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Spartak Moscow here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | Rodina Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
3:1
Jul 25, 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
3:0
Sep 16, 2020 Russian Cup
Rodina Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartak Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Costa Martins J. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martins C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Rodina Moscow Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Moscow 95 / 100
Rodina Moscow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Moscow Rodina Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Moscow scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Rodina Moscow has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Spartak Moscow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Moscow VS Rodina Moscow
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Moscow
(Home) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
23 Aug
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 4
Rodina Moscow
(Away) 27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
23 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
