Sport Picks
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Lukoil Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
7'
7'
Dmitriev I.
Assist: Sorokin I.
44'
44'
Babaev U.
46'
46'
Sub
Sorokin I. In: Litvinov R.
Out: Sorokin I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Spartak Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Spartak Moscow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Spartak Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Spartak Moscow, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | Rubin Kazan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2026 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
1:0
Oct 18, 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
4:0
Aug 19, 2026 Russian Cup
Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moscow
2:1
Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
0:0
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartak Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Dmitriev I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Rubin Kazan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Moscow 85 / 100
Rubin Kazan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Moscow Rubin Kazan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Spartak Moscow scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Rubin Kazan conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Difficult form: Rubin Kazan registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Moscow VS Rubin Kazan
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Moscow
(Home) 28 Oct
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Rubin Kazan
25 Oct
CSKA Moscow
2 : 0 Spartak Moscow
18 Oct
Spartak Moscow
4 : 0 Rubin Kazan
15 Oct
Rodina Moscow
2 : 4 Spartak Moscow
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
Page 1 of 7
28 Oct
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Rubin Kazan
18 Oct
Spartak Moscow
4 : 0 Rubin Kazan
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 4
Rubin Kazan
(Away) 28 Oct
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Rubin Kazan
24 Oct
Rubin Kazan
0 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara
18 Oct
Spartak Moscow
4 : 0 Rubin Kazan
15 Oct
Rubin Kazan
1 : 4 Orenburg
11 Oct
Rubin Kazan
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Rubin Kazan
18 Oct
Spartak Moscow
4 : 0 Rubin Kazan
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
02 Sept
Orenburg
1 : 2 Rubin Kazan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Fakel Voronezh | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:7 | 5 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Baltika | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Akron Togliatti | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
