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Spartak Moscow vs Spartak Subotica

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Kayque
22' Event
Osei K.
27' Event
Babic S.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartak Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
Spartak Subotica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Spartak Subotica.
  • Model gives Spartak Moscow a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow Spartak Subotica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 3
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Spartak Moscow vs Spartak Subotica
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Umyarov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Babic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spartak Subotica Compare

Top Goalscorer Osei K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow 85 / 100
Spartak Subotica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow Spartak Subotica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak Moscow scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Spartak Subotica let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Spartak Subotica has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Moscow VS Spartak Subotica
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Moscow

(Home)
25 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
11 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Spartak Moscow
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0
Rubin Kazan
04 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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Spartak Subotica

(Away)
24 May
Radnicki Nis
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
16 May
Spartak Subotica
0 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
10 May
Spartak Subotica
0 : 3
Napredak
03 May
Mladost Lucani
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
27 Apr
Radnicki 1923
4 : 0
Spartak Subotica
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