Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Moscow vs Yelimay Semey

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Zhaksylykov A.
48' Event
Zabolotnyi A.
78' Event
Ugalde M.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Spartak Moscow
22%
Draws
18%
Yelimay Semey
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Spartak Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Yelimay Semey.
  • Model gives Spartak Moscow a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow Yelimay Semey
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Spartak Moscow vs Yelimay Semey
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabolotnyi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ugalde M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Yelimay Semey Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhaksylykov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow 68 / 100
Yelimay Semey 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow Yelimay Semey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Yelimay Semey let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Moscow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Moscow VS Yelimay Semey
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Moscow

(Home)
25 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
11 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Spartak Moscow
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0
Rubin Kazan
04 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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Yelimay Semey

(Away)
19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Yelimay Semey
16 Jul
Yelimay Semey
2 : 3
Alashkert
09 Jul
Alashkert
1 : 1
Yelimay Semey
04 Jul
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey
27 Jun
Yelimay Semey
2 : 0
Kyzylzhar
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