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Spartak Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women Cherenkov Academy Stadium, Moscow
Spartak Moscow W Logo

Spartak Moscow W

3 - 4
FT
Lokomotiv Moscow W Logo

Lokomotiv Moscow W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lakeeva V.
Assist: Yuklyaeva P.
5' Event
Korovkina N.
Assist: Golovina D.
13' Event
Grzywinska G.
Assist: Fedorova M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Spartak Moscow W
15%
Draws
45%
Lokomotiv Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Spartak Moscow W have won more games recently than Lokomotiv Moscow W.
  • Model gives Spartak Moscow W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Spartak Moscow W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lokomotiv Moscow W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Spartak Moscow W Clean Sheet 14%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow W Lokomotiv Moscow W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.48 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.79 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Russia Cup Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Spartak Moscow W
2:0
Aug 16, 2026 Russia Cup Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
3:4
Jun 27, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Spartak Moscow W
0:2
May 18, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grzywinska G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Petukhova K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Korovkina N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lakeeva V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow W 41 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow W Lokomotiv Moscow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow W scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spartak Moscow W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lokomotiv Moscow W conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Moscow W VS Lokomotiv Moscow W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Moscow W

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartak Moscow W
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg W
19 Sept
Ryazan W
0 : 3
Spartak Moscow W
05 Sept
FK Rostov W
0 : 5
Spartak Moscow W
29 Aug
Spartak Moscow W
1 : 0
Zvezda 2005 W
22 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow W
2 : 0
Spartak Moscow W
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Lokomotiv Moscow W

(Away)
03 Oct
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
0 : 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W
27 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow W
19 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara W
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow W
12 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
2 : 0
Zvezda 2005 W
05 Sept
Ryazan W
0 : 4
Lokomotiv Moscow W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Pari Nizhny Novgorod W 0
Spartak Moscow W 9
Rubin Kazan W 1
Dynamo Moscow W 4
FK Rostov W 0
Krasnodar W 1
Lokomotiv Moscow W 5
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W 2
PFC Sochi W 0
Zenit St Petersburg W 10
Zvezda 2005 W 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W 0
OSSH Chelyabinsk W 0
CSKA Moscow W 13
Ryazan W 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow W 1
Quarter-finals
Spartak Moscow W 2
Dynamo Moscow W 1
Krasnodar W 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W 3
Zenit St Petersburg W 9
Zvezda 2005 W 0
CSKA Moscow W 2
Ryazan W 1
Semi-finals
Spartak Moscow W 3
Lokomotiv Moscow W 6
Zenit St Petersburg W 1
CSKA Moscow W 2
Final
Lokomotiv Moscow W 1
CSKA Moscow W 3